PolifrogBlog

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Tuesday, October 26, 2010

A Hillbuzz Post and Rep Brad Miller, David Price, Bob Etheridge, and GK Butterfield's Possible Rejection by the Non-Extremisits of Their Party...

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I previously posted on the disenchantment real Democrats (as opposed to democrat socialists) must be suffering from as a result of the of the Obama / Pelosi / Reid triad of extremist governance. Obama sold himself as a centrist during the 2008 campaign; his leadership has been anything left of that.

I had assumed in the post that Obama's misgovernance would translate into nothing more than a depressed turnout, but a post at Hillbuzz has me wondering if this disenchantment may have leapt from non participation in the upcoming elections to an active rebuke of democrat socialist extremism. We have already seen hints of this across the swath of the rust belt as the many of individuals who make up the Unions in those areas have expressed extreme distaste for not only the administration, but their union leadership.

But to Hillbuzz. The post centers on the Christine O’Donnell campaign in Delaware, but being that this is a nationalized election, I believe that the observations should have national consideration. Secondly, I believe that this is an explanation for the discrepancy between the Gallup likely voter numbers and the early voter turnout. Early vote turnout has fallen short of Gallup's likely voter results. This discrepancy could, of course, be the result of the fact that not all votes have been cast yet, but it could also be explained by the comments regarding democrats fearful of an O'Donnell win below...

The problem is some internal poll that apparently shows that a high percentage of Democrats early voting are voting straight ticket Republican instead…they are Democrats voting against Democrats.

I am still registered Democrat here in Chicago and I voted straight ticket Republican except for Tom Dart for Sheriff because I know and like him. Other than that, it was all Republican. But, in terms of early voting stats, I was a Democrat early vote on paper.

The media is not factoring people like me into the equation.
On the other side of the aisle, I can’t imagine many, if any, Republicans voting Democrat.

So someone at the DNC came up with a formula that takes all of this into account…and when THAT formula is applied to the Delaware race, CoD is ahead.

And that terrified the DNC enough to send the SOS to the big money guys like my friend for a Hail Mary pass.

“They are terrified of her winning”, my friend said. “Scott Brown terrified”.


Terror cuts two ways.




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